The Egyptian Center for Public Opinion Research “Baseera” conducted a public opinion poll in late February on Egyptians participating in the upcoming presidential elections, including whether or not they will participate in the elections and their opinion on who is the best to be the president of Egypt.
Results show that 83% of Egyptians intend to participate in the upcoming presidential elections, while 12% said they have no intention to participate and 6% are not certain yet.
The results indicate that 81% of Egyptians in urban governorates intend to participate in the upcoming presidential elections, compared to 86% in Lower Egypt, and 79% in Upper Egypt. The percentage of those who do not intend to participate in the upcoming presidential elections rises from 7% in Lower Egypt to 14% in urban governorates and 16% in Upper Egypt.
The results highlight that the percentage of youth aged 30 years or less who don’t intend to participate in the upcoming presidential elections is twice the percentage of those aged older. 18% of participants younger than 30 years old said they do not intend to participate in the elections, compared to 9% of participants aged 30-49 years old and 50 years old or above. However, the majority showed their intention to participate in the upcoming presidential elections, since 87% of Egyptians aged 50 years old or above, 85% aged 30-49 years old and 74% aged less than 30 years old said they intend to vote in the elections.
Upon asking the participants who they will vote for, if the presidential elections were to be held tomorrow, 45% of them said they didn’t decide yet, while 51% said they will vote for Field Marshal Abdel Fattah el-Sisi, Egypt defense minister, and 1% said their vote will go to HamdeenSabahi. The remaining rates were distributed among the rest of candidates.
Poll methodology
This poll was conducted using both mobile and landline phones on a probability sample of 2,062 citizens aged 18 or above. It covered all of the nation’s governorates. All interviews took place from 27 February to 4 March 2014.
The response rate was approximately 61% and the margin of error in the results measured less than 3%. The estimate of economic level was based on the ownership of durable goods.
