IEA announces 60 million barrel oil stock release

DNE
DNE
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PARIS: Industrialized oil consumer nations on Thursday announced the release of 60 million barrels of oil from strategic government stockpiles in a bid to push down crude prices and underpin the global economy.

The 28-member International Energy Agency said it would release 2 million barrels a day (bpd) over an initial 30 days to fill the gap in supplies left by the disruption to Libya’s output. The United States will provide half the volumes, about 1.5 days of US consumption.

The announcement comes after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries failed to raise production at a meeting on June 8 and despite assurances from OPEC’s biggest producer Saudi Arabia that it would lift supplies unilaterally.

OPEC member Libya was exporting about 1.2 million bpd before the rebellion that brought its oil industry to a standstill.

"This supply disruption has been underway for some time and its effect has become more pronounced as it has continued," said the IEA. Libya was likely to remain off the market for the rest of 2011, it said.

"Greater tightness in the oil market threatens to undermine the fragile global economic recovery," the IEA said.

No certainty on lower prices

This is only the third emergency release in the IEA’s 37-year history. It was created in 1974 after the Arab oil embargo.

Oil prices traded more than $6 a barrel lower for benchmark Brent crude at just below $108 and US crude fell nearly $5 a barrel to $90.50 a barrel.

With world oil stocks at comfortably high levels by historical standards, oil analysts were divided on whether prices would fall further or not.

"I think the IEA is trying to act like a central bank," said Dominick Chirichella at New York’s Energy Management Institute. "I don’t think anyone will be comfortable being long oil … We may see (US) oil trading in the $80s very soon."

But Carl Larry at Blue Ocean brokerage in New York said prices might not have much further to fall.

"This is an economic stimulus … in oil dollars," said Larry. "On the other hand I think we have confirmed the bottom of the oil market here at $109 for Brent and $90 for WTI."

The decision appears to represent a departure for the IEA from previous emergency releases.

In the 1990-1991 Gulf conflict when Iraq invaded Kuwait much larger volumes of crude were shut. When Hurricane Katrina in 2005 hit US refineries the IEA release consisted mostly of European refined products to the United States.

"The move is significant as it represents a reach by member countries for the remedy of last resort to high prices," said John Kilduff of Again Capital.

"Clearly the energy price spike is being cited as the reason for the economic slowdown and this is reaction to that. The Libyan outage provides good cover."

The IEA said it would review the need for a further release in a month.

"The IEA will continue to watch further developments and we will use the next 30 days to reassess the situation," said IEA Executive Director Nobuo Tanaka. –Additional reporting by Alex Lawler, Barbara Lewis, Salem Gebrekidan, Antonita Devotta

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